All Posts (10731)
Police have used batons and water cannons in clashes with angry investors in the capital of Bangladesh after the country's stock market saw the biggest one-day fall in its 55-year history.
It follows losses of about 6.7% in trading on Sunday.The benchmark index had climbed by 80% in 2010 but has lost more than 27% since early December.
Trading was also halted on the country's other main index, the Chittagong Stock Exchange.
Popular investment:"There are up to 5,000 investors holding protests on the streets in front of the exchange building. Some of them have been violent," police inspector Azizul Haq told the AFP news agency.
"They have started vandalising government property, which forced us to use batons against them."
The BBC's reporter in Bangladesh, Akbar Hossain, confirmed that the baton charging had taken place and that there were protesters on the streets.
The rising value of the stocks in recent years has attracted about three million small-scale or retail investors in Bangladesh, he added.
Shares have become a popular investment for ordinary people, often providing higher returns than bank deposits and savings.
However, regulators have also taken measures in recent weeks to limit the proportion of deposits that banks can invest into the stock market - after concerns that shares were overvalued.
The move forced big institutional investors to withdraw from the market, triggering panic among individual investors.
"Market insiders say small investors were looking for an exit point from the market through selling their shares," our correspondent said.
Investors and police had also clashed in mid-December following a market slide.
Italy’s debt-to-GDP ratio is 118% (2009).Greece got in trouble at 116%. Italy’s deficit is smaller and has a high savings ratio.However,nobody focuses on that as Spain is in the limelight with a debt-to-GDP ratio under 60%.Should austerity measures result in a nominal GDP contraction in Italy,its debt stats will worsen very rapidly.
Italy is the elephant in the room not Spain.
Since mid-October, German 10-Year Government bond yields are up .64%. In the same timeframe, Italian 10-Year Government bond yields are up 1.04%.
The flight-to-safety divergence increased starting around December 16, 2010. Since then, German bonds yields are off .16% while Italian bond yields rose .14%.
Government Bond Spreads as of January 7, 2011
On January 7, 2011 the German-Italian spread government bond spread is 1.88% and rising. Table is courtesy of the Financial Times.
Note:As of back in May 2010,Italy owed France a whopping $511 billion, 20% of the French GDP.Moreover,nearly 1/3 of Portugal’s debt is held by Spain.Meanwhile Spain owes huge amounts to Germany, France, and the UK.
Critical Court Ruling Coming Up................
In Feb 2011 the German court gives its verdict on the constitutionality of the bail-out. Fifty academics and politicians sued the government over it.February is crunch time.
If Italy were to go into a nominal GDP recession on account of its austerity programs,its debt-to-GDP ratio would likely be 130% by 2012.It’s difficult to see how the market would ignore that.
Also check out Italy’s debt compared to Germany. Here is the official EU Gross Government Debt Figures by country.Note that as of 2009, Italy’s Debt is 1.763 Trillion EUR,about the same as Germany. Obviously the German economy is far bigger.
2011 Italian Debt Issuance
Inquiring minds are reading Italian Public Securities By Maturity to see how much debt Italy will need to rollover in 2011.
A quick look at page 3 totals approximately 281 billion in euro debt rollovers. Assume a 5% budget deficit on a GDP of roughly 1.5 trillion euros and you end up with 281 + 75 billion or roughly 356 billion euro total debt issuance.
Will the market accommodate that issuance at a good interest rate? If not, the “Invisible Elephant In The Room” will quickly make its presence known in a rather rude manner.
On the Daily notice the spacing between the 20 and 50ma, also the euro usd is below all the Moving averages which is a bearish sign, watch the 1.2796 area for support as it is the 61.8 fib retrace, Notice the 1hr chart, this is the daily overlayed on it and shows the same H and S Pattern
Any Comments or views would be appreciated