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HOW COULD EURUSD rise 3.5% during the same 2 weeks when Irish/Greek/Spanish 10 year spreads rose 20-25% relative to Germany? Anticipation of Feds QE2 has been the main catalyst. But the euro can no longer sustain those highs solely on the back of the Fed asset purchases, while shrugging the ensuing widening in corporate spreads. Irelands ambitious new budget (yet to be approved in parliament) aims at cutting the deficit to 9.25%-9.5% of GDP in 2011 from the current 11.9%.EUR PAYBACK PART 2: USD stabilizes after US jobs growth outpaced expectations in October along with +110K in upward revisions for September and August. Non-farm payrolls, rose 151K in Oct from a revised -41K (prev -95K) in September and a revised -1K (prev -57K) in August. Unemployment remained at 9.6% for the 3rd consecutive month. HOW COULD EURUSD rise 3.5% during the same 2 weeks when Irish/Greek/Spanish 10 year spreads rose 20-25% relative to Germany? Anticipation of Feds QE2 has been the main catalyst. But the euro can no longer sustain those highs solely on the back of the Fed asset purchases, while shrugging the ensuing widening in corporate spreads. Irelands ambitious new budget (yet to be approved in parliament) aims at cutting the deficit to 9.25%-9.5% of GDP in 2011 from the current 11.9%. EURO SHORTS WILL NEED need to see a weekly close below $1.40 for hopes of prolonged declines, but only a close (later next week) below the 200-week MA of $1.3938 would sharpen selling. A close above $1.40 this week, could qualify EURUSD for renewed gains towards $1.4320 & $1.4450 resistance. EURCAD DROPS below $1.41, testing its 55-week MA for the first time this year. The cross-over in weekly stochastics aiming at 1.4040-50 support, which would be followed by 1.38. HERES THAT EUR vs SPREADS CHART
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Yesterday I released our quarterly opinion and valuation update for Morgan Stanley. They had a horrible quarter, and we feel the mainstream financial media failed to illustrate just how bad the quarter actually was. In our attempt to demonstrate Morgan’s performance to the public I included some excerpts from the subscription report, nhttp://boombustblog.com/reggie-middleton/2010/11/05/an-explanation-of-the-pitfalls-of-relying-on-accounting-earnings-in-analyzing-the-investment-banks-starting-with-morgan-stanley/
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A BULL MARKET! So far, this stock market is doing everything we expect to see happen if following a bull market. It acts like a bull, trades like a bull, goes up constantly like a bull... so it is a BULL!. Make no mistake! This is not going away any time soon! our noble friend oscar
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