Link:http://www.cnbc.com/id/15840232?video=1694700272&play=1
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And beneath is the chart posted on November 29,2010
As you can see,this is a perfect example on using trend and fib levels to plot a 1:3 trade ratio.Thankfully,the first trade out of the 3 probabilities went our way.
Hope you find these examples useful in the future.
it looks like certain semiconductor and storage plays have possibly topped out today. After an initial gap higher, they have turned to the downside even as the markets remain higher. Their daily charts are extremely extended and into major resistance. The first stock that has shown a good top reversal is Cree, Inc. (NASDAQ:CREE). In two months CREE has gone from $48.00 to a gap up high today of $72.85. Even with the markets near the highs of the day, this stock has now reversed and gone negative. The second stock is Riverbed Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ:RVBD). RVBD opened higher at $37.60. Since then, it has dropped, going negative on the day. RVBD was a $12.00 stock at the beginning of 2010. Just in the last month, RVBD is up almost $10.00 per share. The reversal today, could spell a solid short term pull back in the stock. The semiconductor ETF is also looking like a top is near or already in the stock. Semiconductor HOLDRs (ETF) (NYSE:SMH) is extremely extended. Watch for a pull back. To gain more guidance, swing trades and education, join the Research Center.
Gareth Soloway
Chief Market Strategist
www.InTheMoneyStocks.com
#1 Rated
The stock market is floating higher today on the back of a major drop in the Dollar. The PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSE:UUP) is down sharply, trading at $22.89, -0.23 (-0.99%). A weak Dollar keeps the markets moving higher for multiple reasons. The Federal Reserve continues to create an artificial asset bubble to make the average American believe they are richer. While this bubble will burst, the Federal Reserve believes for the first time in history, they can control it. As the Dollar drops, stock prices must move higher to keep their real value. For instance, if the Dollar drops 10%, stock prices should move up 10%. In addition, a weak Dollar causes commodity prices like oil, gold, silver and copper to move higher. This also helps the profits of many stocks that are part of the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average.
While the market is slightly higher on the day, it is interesting to note that we are not seeing major gains on a massive drop in the Dollar. This tells us that the key $125.25 level on the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) is holding well as resistance. This level may cause a short term pull back in the markets and should be watched very closely. To gain more insight, guidance, swing trades and education, join the Research Center.
Gareth Soloway
Chief Market Strategist
www.InTheMoneyStocks.com
#1 Rated
Last night the Shanghai Index rallied higher by nearly 3.0 percent. The rally in the highly followed Shanghai Index occurred after the Chinese central bank failed to raise interest rates as most economists had expected. Inflation fears have come over the Chinese economy as reports such as the CPI surged by over 5.0 percent. Recently the Chinese have increased bank reserves to try and curb speculating in real estate. However, the failure by the Chinese to increase actual interest rates has caused a spike in most commodity stocks this morning. Stocks such as Freeport McMoRan Copper& Gold Inc.(NYSE:FCX), and Southern Copper Corp.(NYSE:SCCO) are rallying this morning after the action by the Chinese. Oil, gold, and silver are also surging higher as this action by the Chinese has helped the U.S. Dollar Index to decline. As we all have seen before when China rallies the world seems to inflate higher and rally. This is really just an extension of the current inflation rally as the central banks around the world continue to keep interest rates artificially low in order to create inflation. Leading commodity stock Cliffs Natural Resources Inc.(NYSE:CLF) is rallying higher by nearly 3.0 percent this morning. United States Steel Corp.(NYSE:X) is another leading commodity stock that will often benefit from the weakening U.S. Dollar Index. These stocks will often rally higher when the U.S. Dollar Index pulls back or sells off. Therefore, keep one eye on the U.S. Dollar Index at all times. Should the U.S. Dollar Index catch a bid higher or begin to rally most commodity stocks will deflate and trade lower. At this time the stock markets around the world follow the Chinese markets like a hawk. The other major catalyst for a global stock market rally is the weak U.S. Dollar Index. It seems that as long as the dollar declines the world economies will inflate higher. This type of action can continue for a while, however, it will not last forever. Watch for signs when these current relationships seem to break apart or no longer work. Until then enjoy the inflation rally.
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