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USD: QE3 Back On The Table?

The action in the U.S. heats up tomorrow with Bernanke headed for Capitol Hill to deliver his semi-annual testimony on the economy and monetary policy. The Fed Chairman will be peppered with questions about the weakness of the labor market and how he plans to turn things around. Based upon the minutes from the FOMC meeting in June, some policymakers were open to the idea of additional stimulus if the economy remains weak. Considering that Fed officials felt this way after only seeing one month of weak payroll growth (54k in May), we can only imagine how they feel after seeing last Friday’s abysmal report. If Fed officials were thinking about more stimulus back in June, the prospect of QE3 has now increased with last week’s labor market report.

 

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8118303689?profile=originalThis morning, the major stock indexes are struggling to trade into positive territory. The major stock indexes sold off sharply lower yesterday and remain very weak at the open. Traders must keep a close eye on the U.S. Dollar Index. As the U.S. Dollar Index(DXY) declined from it's overnight high the major stock indexes have inflated and recovered a lot of the overnight declines. Last night, around 3:50 am EST the U.S. Dollar Index traded as high as $77.17 per contract. Currently, the U.S. Dollar Index is trading around the $76.40 level, this is a sharp pullback in the U.S. Dollar Index. Remember the markets trade inverse to the dollar at this time. 

By now, we should all know when the U.S. Dollar Index declines the major stock and commodity markets will generally inflate and trade higher. Stocks such as Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc.(NYSE:FCX), Southern Copper Corp.(NYSE:SCCO), and Cliffs Natural Resources Inc.(NYSE:CLF) have all traded into positive territory as the U.S. Dollar Index declined. Should the U.S. Dollar Index rally or trade higher throughout the day these leading commodity stocks should pullback.
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The stock market is falling hard today. The SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSE:SPY) is trading at $132.36, -2.04 (-1.52%). This massive drop in stocks is mostly due to fears over Italy. After Greece received its aid package bailout just two weeks ago, the next domino has started to fall. Spain and Portugal are most likely nearing a fall as well. Find out the next big move in the markets and how to profit from it. Just take the seven day free trial to the Research CenterClick here now.

The Euro is tanking on the European debt issues. This is causing the Dollar to surge to the upside. The stronger Dollar is putting more pressure on the U.S. markets. The PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (NYSE:UUP) is sharply higher, trading at $21.67, +0.25 (1.17%).

This drop in the markets is coming on the back of a monstrous rally in the markets over the last two weeks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up more than 6% in less than two weeks. Friday, the rally finally started to fail as the Non Farm Payrolls numbers came in sharply below expectations. With just 18,000 jobs created last month, the markets dropped. Master the markets by learning and trading with the pros. Take the seven day free trial to the Research Center.

All sectors are taking a hit today but banks are under extreme pressure. This is due to their exposure to credit default swaps, stemming from the issues in Europe. Should European countries default, a new financial crisis would erupt. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:GS) is trading at $131.85, -2.23 (-1.66%), JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) is trading at $39.52, -1.22 (-2.99%) and Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE:WFC) is trading at $27.65, -0.65 (-2.30%).

Gareth Soloway
Chief Market Strategist
www.InTheMoneyStocks.com
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Wall Street is a sea of red as the major stock indexes are getting pummeled. The NASDAQ Composite is trading lower by over 2.0 percent, this index is leading the decline. The U.S. Dollar Index is trading sharply higher today and this is certainly helping to deflate the major stock indexes. When the dollar is higher the stock markets are usually lower. Should the U.S. Dollar Index pullback into the close the major stock indexes could possibly trade off the lows of the day. Traders must closely follow the U.S. Dollar Index over the next few days.

The leading financial stocks are selling off this afternoon. J.P. Morgan Chase & Co.(NYSE:JPM) is probably the most important financial stock in the market. This financial giant is trading lower by $1.29 to $39.45 a share. When JPM stock is trading lower on the day, it will usually mean that all of the other financial stocks will be declining as well. Bank of America Corp.(NYSE:BAC), and Morgan Stanley(NYSE:MS) are making new 52 week lows this afternoon. Traders and investors are now wondering how much exposure these banks have in European debt. 

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ISFAHAN, Iran (Reuters) - The market is full of oil and the rising price trend is "fake and imposed," Iran's president said on Tuesday, partly blaming a weak U.S. dollar which he said was being pushed lower on purpose.

"At a time when the growth of consumption is lower than the growth of production and the market is full of oil, prices are rising and this trend is completely fake and imposed," President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said in a televised speech.     http://www.dailypaul.com/52712/ahmadinejad-says-market-full-of-oil-price-trend-fake

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Geithner admits manipulation - ZEROHEDGE

We don’t have the ability (because of the overhang in housing and the problems in the financial sector) to engineera stronger recovery

Imagine that! Geithner acknowledges what I (and many others) have felt all along. The structural issues in the economy trump the government’s ability to engineer a recovery. 
Some refreshing words from the Treasury Secretary, Tim Geithner this morning on Meet the Press. He had this to say: (15:20 into this clip
 


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