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For nearly 2 weeks now, the EUR/USD
has traded in a relatively tight 200 pip trading range and its two way price action indicates that investors are not sure how desperate Spain’s problems will become.
http://www.fx360.com/commentary/kathy/7419/eur-fearing-the-spanish-bomb.aspx
If stocks sell-off, the dollar could recover some of its recent losses but if equities continue to power higher, the dollar and yen would weaken as safe haven demand dissipates.
http://www.fx360.com/commentary/kathy/7417/behind-todays-moves-in-currencies.aspx?num=1334754372046
MPC minutes revealed that UK monetary authorities voted 9-0 to keep rates unchanged and 8-1 not to expand QE any further as concerns over inflation cast a decidedly hawkish tone to the meeting. Adam Posen, historically one of the more dovish members of the MPC, dropped his long standing call for more easing leaving Miles as the solitary voice for more QE.
However the dollar did not rise on this news because gloomy reports on the manufacturing sector and housing market raised concerns about the sustainability of the U.S. recovery.
http://www.fx360.com/commentary/kathy/7402/why-the-usd-ignored-strong-retail-sales.aspx
But worries about the European crisis were brushed aside in US trading as EUR/USD surged to 1.3148 from 1.3025 on what could be repatriation of funds by European banks to relieve the tension on the latest market woes.
Presented by Gareth Soloway April 16, 2012 12:47PM
Spanish yields surged above 6% on the 10 year overnight. This continues to show Europe will need to bailout yet another nation. After Spain, Italy and Portugal are sure to follow. The U.S. market has largely ignored the problems in Europe in recent months. However, these problems are now getting too dramatic to ignore.
Technology has been crushed in the last few trading sessions. Google Inc (NASDAQ:GOOG) reported earnings last Thursday evening. Since then, the stock has fallen from over $650 to a low today of $601.66. In addition, the strongest technology stock has collapsed sharply. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) has been the biggest hyped stock in recent months but has lost its shine. The stock topped out last week at a 52 week, all time high of $644, hitting a low today of $582.30.
This week the markets have a lot to deal with. Not only is Europe erupting once again but major earnings will be reported. In addition, it is options expiration which usually creates some wild swings in the market. Take the seven day free trial to the Research Center and Intra Day Stock. Join the elite pros as they give swing trades and proprietary analysis to their members. Become a profitable investor and trader in any market. Join now and start profiting for life.
Related: SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:SPY), SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSEARCA:DIA) and PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF)(NASDAQ:QQQ).
Gareth Soloway
Chief Market Strategist
www.InTheMoneyStocks.com