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http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sp-downgrades-italy-one-notch-to-a-2011-09-19?siteid=bnbh
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/sp-downgrades-italy-one-notch-to-a-2011-09-19?siteid=bnbh
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/09/19/680306/breaking-on-fedwire/
http://ftalphaville.ft.com/blog/2011/09/19/680306/breaking-on-fedwire/
again to keep things into context > *83% of Hedge Funds Report Losses in August; Barclay Hedge Fund Index Down 3.42% ... *
again to keep things into context > *83% of Hedge Funds Report Losses in August; Barclay Hedge Fund Index Down 3.42% ... *
Just now i heard this *** IMF is now in preparations for a Greek Default ... Tuesday or Wednesday or Thursday ,Not matter it will default
guardiannews Guardian news
Greece under pressure as finance ministers put brakes on bailout payment gu.com/p/32xbf/tf
Hopefully many traders and investors know that this Friday is options expiration. Often during the trading week leading up to the expiration there will be a lot of games being played by the large institutional trading desks. You see, this is a time when the small retail options traders will most likely be shaken out of their near term options position. The institutions will usually look to see where the small retail options traders have placed there bets. Once the elaborate computer programs sniff out where the popular bet has been placed the institutional money will move the stock in the other direction. This is why options expiration week is always so volatile, erratic, and tricky.
It is important to always remember that many small retail options traders will rarely ever exercise a stock, they are simply looking to capture a gain in the premium paid. Most options traders will generally close out the position before the actual expiration of the option. This is another reason why the entire trading week leading up to options expiration is so volatile. Traders should also be aware that this is a week where rumors run rampant in the market place.
Traders and investors will see the most volatility on the popular trading stocks. Stocks such as Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix Inc.(NASDAQ:NFLX), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN), and Biadu Inc.(NASDAQ:BIDU) will usually be extremely active and volatile throughout the trading week. It is important to remember most traders that are purchasing options simply do not have the capital to directly purchase the stock and the institutions know that, therefore, the institutions will take advantage of this and try to shake out the small retail options trader throughout the entire week.
It is important to always remember that many small retail options traders will rarely ever exercise a stock, they are simply looking to capture a gain in the premium paid. Most options traders will generally close out the position before the actual expiration of the option. This is another reason why the entire trading week leading up to options expiration is so volatile. Traders should also be aware that this is a week where rumors run rampant in the market place.
Traders and investors will see the most volatility on the popular trading stocks. Stocks such as Apple Inc.(NASDAQ:AAPL), Netflix Inc.(NASDAQ:NFLX), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN), and Biadu Inc.(NASDAQ:BIDU) will usually be extremely active and volatile throughout the trading week. It is important to remember most traders that are purchasing options simply do not have the capital to directly purchase the stock and the institutions know that, therefore, the institutions will take advantage of this and try to shake out the small retail options trader throughout the entire week.
2 important points here
1. we have registered a lower high based on news of Greece defaulting over weekend and EURO started to slide = fundamental concerns
2. we have H&S formation .......one must know that a H&S at the bottom of the market has a 50% success rate, not as high as being at top of market. Therefore one must be wary of a reversal ......
FTSE 100 Weekly chart = bear flag
provided the FTSE 100 < 5300 which is the 200 MA =respected by every fund manager
200 MA = line in the sand
if we get weekly close > 5300 = bull market and H&S failed and bear flag failed = short squeeze ....This will mainly be due to QE 3 being announced/or some sort of stimulus
if < 5300 = bear flag in play and H&S kicks in .......
FGoria Fabrizio Goria
***RTRS: OECDS sees annualised German GDP growth of 2.6% in Q3, -1.4% in Q4***
prospect of sharp year-end slowdown - oecd chief econ interview with Reuters Insider link.reuters.com/juh63s
After a month long hiatus, I'm back folks !!
But where is everyone ???????
With the economy still very weak, more stimulus is certainly needed. However just because the U.S. economy desperately needs a jolt of energy does not mean that the Fed will supply it. The topic of Bernanke’s 10am ET speech tomorrow says it all. He plans to speak about the “near and long term prospects for the U.S. economy.” In 2010, the topic of his speech was “The Economic Outlook and the Federal Reserve’s Policy Response.” The big difference between this year and last is that we are now talking about inflation and not deflation risks. Recent economic data has been mixed but at the end of the day, the performance of the U.S. economy has been subpar and for this reason, we do not rule out slightly more aggressive action by the Fed.
From the most flimsy to the most aggressive, here are 5 of the Fed’s options. We believe that the central bank will opt for either an ambiguous pledge to do all that is necessary with no concrete commitment, extend their 2013 low rates pledge to the securities portfolio or sell short term bonds and buy longer term bonds to "twist" the yield curve.
1. “We are also worried” – If the Fed opts to do nothing more than express their concern about the economy and give an ambiguous pledge to do all that is necessary, investors will be sorely disappointed.
2. Extends 2013 pledge to Securities Portfolio – When the Fed met earlier this month, they tweaked the extended language sentence of their FOMC statement to say that the Fed Funds rate would remain at exceptionally low levels at least through mid 2013. They can opt to extend this pledge to their securities portfolio which leaves open the door to QE3 without explicitly initiating it.
3. Operation Twist – The Fed could also bring back a tool used in the 1960s that twisted the yield curve by selling short term bonds and buying longer term bonds. This would drive short term yields up and long term yield down which effectively extends the maturity of their securities portfolio without increasing the balance sheet. This would be a more aggressive action than another language tweak (see #2).
4. Reduce Interest on Reserves to ZIRP – The central bank could also cut the interest paid on reserves from 0.25 percent to 0 percent or cut swap line rates in order to bring down the tremendous amount of liquidity.
5. Another Round of QE – The most aggressive options would be for the Fed to introduce another round of stimulus but given the level of inflation and the criticism of QE2, this option may be the least likely. One other possibility is inflation targeting but this “nuclear option” is so unlikely that it is not allocated its own category.
http://www.fx360.com/commentary/kathy/6024/usd-what-to-expect-from-jackson-hole.aspx
